The Guidance Of Low-Carbon Economy Is Hesitant In The Game.

Until now, the "guiding opinions on developing low-carbon economy" has not yet been published. The finance and economics reporter has been informed that the opinions have been submitted to the relevant departments, but they have not been approved.

It has been widely predicted that the "opinion" will be released at the end of 2009.

2010 "

Xu Huaqing, director of the Research Center for energy, environment and climate change of the NDRC, which was formulated by the "opinion", told reporters that "opinions" have been suspended for a while, and the time has been pushed back.

It is reported that the "opinion" was drafted by the Ministry of development and Reform Commission to deal with climate change. The ministries of environmental protection, Ministry of industry and the Ministry of Finance assisted the study of "opinions".

The main contents of the opinion include low carbon

Zhuang Guiyang, director of the Institute of climate change economics of the Institute of urban development and environment of the Academy of Social Sciences, who contacted the first draft of the opinion, told reporters that "it has not been published for such a long time. If it is to be promulgated, it must be revised again, because the situation has changed a lot."

Launch a momentum

At the Copenhagen world climate conference held in 2009, the Chinese government promised to retain the existing energy saving and emission reduction targets, and the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP decreased by 40%-45% in 2020 compared with that in 2005. The proportion of non fossil energy consumption to primary energy consumption reached 15%.

In 2009, the central economic work conference also made clear that under the great thinking of adjusting the structure and promoting pformation, we should promote energy conservation and emission reduction and launch a pilot project of low carbon economy.

On March 5, 2010, Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council pointed out in his government work report that one of the key tasks in 2010 is to actively respond to climate change.

We should vigorously develop low-carbon technologies, promote energy-efficient technologies, and actively develop new and renewable sources of energy.

Efforts should be made to build an industrial system characterized by low carbon emissions.

During the "two sessions" in 2010, the proposal of the 93 society, "the proposal to promote the development of low-carbon economy in China" was highly recognized by the national development and Reform Commission (NDRC), and was listed as "proposition 1" of the CPPCC session.

The proposal pointed out that the low-carbon development path should be identified as a major strategy for economic and social development, and a low-carbon economy as a new economic growth point. The low-carbon development path with Chinese characteristics should be taken as a major strategy for tackling climate change and promoting economic development. In addition to the 12th Five-Year plan, we should consider long-term planning, readjust the economic structure, plan the layout of industrial development, change the mode of development, optimize the energy structure and improve the efficiency of energy use.

As the low carbon economy has gradually risen to the national strategic level, all walks of life have reached a consensus that developing low-carbon economy is an irreversible trend.

But the controversy surrounding the "low carbon economy" is still lingering. There are still some controversies on the issues. This also reflects the reasons why it is difficult to publish the opinions from a certain level.

Wu Changhua, President of climate organization Greater China, is skeptical about whether the "opinion" can be issued. "The NDRC's opinion may not come out. The reasons are very complicated. After the Copenhagen meeting, some senior government officials felt that the western countries were" setting us up ".

In addition, Wu Changhua also questioned the drafting department of the "opinion". The main responsibility of the NDRC's response to the climate change division is to study climate change and deal with climate change. "Low carbon economy is a problem of the whole economic development. (climate Si Zuowei) the grass man is not suitable.

Pan Jiahua, director of the Institute of urban development and environment of the Academy of Social Sciences, said that the time when the "opinion" was issued was repeatedly pushed back, because the definition of low-carbon economy was not particularly clear.

However, Pan Jiahua also pointed out that the "opinion" has not yet come out. From this we can see that the attitude of the NDRC is prudent. "Too much haste to come up with" opinions "will soon lead to defects, which is of no value.

"Opinions" difficult to come out depends on understanding, and the fact that government executives do not agree on low carbon economy is one of the reasons for the dystocia of "opinion".

Zhuang Guiyang is the analysis.

Some experts interviewed by reporters said that "opinion" is more about the development of low carbon economy as a national strategy, making a statement at the political level, highlighting the importance of developing low-carbon economy, and "opinion" will not have specific indicators.

The concept needs to be clarified.

At present, the connotation and extension of low carbon economy in China is not clearly defined.

Xu Huaqing believes that the concept of "Introduction" has not yet been clarified.

In February 2003, when the British Prime Minister Blair published the white paper "our future energy - to create a low carbon economy", the concept of low carbon economy first appeared.

Along with the conclusion of the "Bali roadmap", the international action against climate change has been going deeper and deeper, and the road of low carbon economic development has attracted more and more attention internationally.

Low carbon economy refers to an economic form that achieves a certain level of carbon productivity and human development, aiming at achieving the global vision of controlling greenhouse gas emissions.

It is an economic form, and the process of pforming to low carbon economy is the process of low carbon development, the goal is low carbon and high growth, and the development mode is emphasized.

It highlights the competition of low carbon technology, focusing on the long-term competitiveness of low carbon products and low-carbon industries.

It is a long-term development vision, and the pformation process has phased characteristics. Ultimately, low-carbon economy can be realized through technological leapfrog development and institutional constraints. It is manifested in the improvement of energy efficiency, the optimization of energy structure and the rationality of consumer behavior.

In Pan Jiahua's view, the so-called low carbon is mainly divided into three situations, one is zero carbon, that is, no carbon emissions; the two is to meet certain carbon limited targets; the three is relative low carbon, compared with a certain reference material to compare carbon emissions.

The core connotation of low carbon economy should belong to low carbon and relatively low carbon that meets certain goals.

China is now in the middle stage of the heavy chemical industry, which is developing rapidly in the process of industrialization and urbanization. Based on the current technology level, zero carbon is unrealistic, absolutely zero carbon is also impossible. For China, the latter two kinds of low carbon are practical and feasible.

As long as China is committed to meeting the conference on climate change in Copenhagen, on the basis of preserving the existing targets of energy conservation and emission reduction, the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP will decrease by 40%-45% compared with 2005 by 2020. The ratio of non fossil energy to primary energy consumption will be around 15%, which can be regarded as a substantive effort for low-carbon targets.

Wu Changhua believes that "low carbon economy" is not a brand new thing. In fact, it is a way of development and a train of thought for development.

It is related to sustainable development and is not isolated.

For China, low carbon can be incorporated into sustainable development and energy conservation and emission reduction should be carried out according to its own conditions.

Zhuang Guiyang pointed out that there are still some misunderstandings in the understanding of low carbon economy. For example, developing low carbon economy must be a high cost and low carbon economy, only a matter of developed countries, and energy conservation and emission reduction means a low-carbon economy.

"Including high-level government's understanding of low-carbon economy is not particularly clear, requiring all parties concerned to work harder to achieve a unified understanding."

Zhuang Guiyang said.

Hesitant {page_break} in game theory

According to the statistics of the International Energy Agency, China's annual emissions of greenhouse gases have ranked first in the world in 2007, with per capita emissions exceeding 5% of the world average, and about half of the world's newly increased carbon dioxide emissions originate from China.

At the Copenhagen conference, China has been under tremendous pressure due to its outstanding emission status and has become the focus of attention of all parties.

However, the self emission reduction announced by China at the meeting did not win the success of the Copenhagen conference, and even caused unwarranted accusations by some countries.

Compared with the compromise of the Copenhagen conference, the climate change conference held in Cancun, Mexico, will be placed more and more hope at the end of 2010. The friction and conflict between countries will be alleviated, and a consensus and balance of interests will be reached.

The essence of low-carbon game is the balance between the right to discharge and the right to development.

Although China's pition to a low carbon economy is more of a need for its own development, in the international environment of clouds and storms, the introduction of the opinion will need to consider how to ease the pressure in international climate politics, reduce friction with other countries, and create a favorable international development environment, so as to grasp more discourse power in international climate negotiations. This is also the reason why all sides are hesitant about the text of the opinion.

Although the Copenhagen conference has not made substantial progress, it has made an unprecedented general mobilization for global emission reduction.

Zhuang Guiyang of the Academy of Social Sciences believes that this can be said to be the beginning of the global pformation of climate change and to a low carbon economy. "The Copenhagen conference has set the goal of limiting the increase in temperature to 2 degrees Celsius before industrialization. This will require China to substantially reduce its carbon emissions. The European Union has proposed the peak of China's carbon emission curve in 2025. Besides, China's annual carbon emissions surpass that of the United States as the number one in the world, and the pressure it faces is enormous."

In addition to international considerations, the pilot competition for low-carbon economy is one of the concerns of the departments concerned.

According to Zhuang Guiyang, the first draft of the opinion put forward a pilot project for low carbon economy in the local and industrial sectors. "There will be a pilot project, but not too much," the opinion did not specify where to do the pilot.

Cities are bound to win pilot sites in order to get a policy tilt.

"There are more than 1000 cities that want to do a pilot project, which will greatly increase the reputation of the city," Zhuang Guiyang said.

"Everywhere in the name of the name, always have a quantitative thing, the rules have not come out yet, the development and Reform Commission also dare not easily give names."

Wu Changhua said.

She believes that in such a state of disorder, the "opinion" should be promulgated as soon as possible, given standardized guidance, and policy can not always be absent.

For the selection of pilot cities, Zhuang Guiyang recommends that "a truly representative city should be selected, and those cities that cannot fish in troubled waters should be chosen".

"Under the uncertainty of national policies, some cities have realized that this is an opportunity. Cities without forward-looking and passive cities should not be chosen as pilot projects."

The same calls came from the industry.

Zhang Yongguang, director of Sinopec's Research Institute of fuel oil products and additives, told the "finance and economics" reporter that China's commitment to reduce carbon dioxide at the Copenhagen conference, "may have completed part of it. As for the remaining amount, we need to make plans for the implementation of various industries."

Zhou Changyi, director of the Department of energy conservation and comprehensive utilization of the Ministry of industry and information technology, said to the "finance and economics" reporter, "the Department of energy conservation and other departments should make specific emission reduction estimation work, and then the NDRC will integrate the opinions of various departments."