Cotton Harvest In 2011 Is A Foregone Conclusion Of &Nbsp; Output Increased By 11% Over The Same Period Last Year.

Because of the increase in cotton farmers' income last year, the enthusiasm of cotton growers has been raised. cotton Planting area increased. However, the cost of cotton production has increased this year, so most cotton growers have a high expectation of seed cotton purchase price, which is above 4 yuan / Jin. In September 15th, at the cotton situation analysis conference in 2011, the cotton association of main cotton regions in China analyzed the cotton production situation and the current situation of new cotton purchase.

　　 Henan: cotton growers expect seed cotton purchase price to be over 4.5 yuan / Jin.

"Farmers have higher psychological expectations for the purchase price of cotton this year. It is considered that the best cotton price this year can be 4.5 yuan / Jin, and the best income per mu can be around 2500 yuan." According to Li Jin, general manager of Henan cotton Group Industrial Co., Ltd., at present, the purchase price is about 4.5 yuan / kg, and cotton farmers are reluctant to sell cotton.

Li Jin said that the climate of Henan was suitable for cotton planting in the early stage of this year. According to statistics in mid and late 8, Henan's cotton planting area is 6 million mu, and its total output is estimated to be 400 thousand tons. From September 4th to September 13th, most parts of Henan province were in rainy and cold weather, which seriously affected the normal maturity of cotton bolls in the lower part, and had a great impact on cotton production.

There are three new changes in cotton production in Henan province this year: first, the increase of planting area in the scattered cotton production area; two, some cotton enterprises actively develop cotton production; three, the successful pilot of mechanized transplanting of cotton seedlings. In recent years, the cotton planting area in Henan province has been decreasing year by year. Li Jin thinks that as long as the cotton price is reasonable, with the improvement of planting technology and mode, Henan cotton may also gradually recover.

　 Hunan: cotton Area grew by 15%

According to Bao Hanwen, executive vice president of Hunan Cotton Association, Hunan cotton planting area in 2011 was 3 million 800 thousand mu, an increase of 15% over the same period, and it is expected to produce 350 thousand tons of lint. In addition to the high cotton prices in 2010, the cotton growers have achieved good results and the cotton planting enthusiasm is rising, there are also other reasons for the huge increase in cotton area in Hunan this year. First, the Dongting Lake has shrunk by 40% and the suitable cotton area has been enlarged. Second, under the influence of severe drought, the early rice has been tilled without water and forced to grow cotton seeds.

　 Shandong: cotton production will reach 860 thousand tons or more.

The cotton production situation in Shandong is ideal this year. Although the area has increased by 4%, the fine weather is very suitable for cotton growth. According to Bian Shenggui, Secretary General of Shandong Cotton Association, the planting area in 2011 is about 11 million 650 thousand mu, an increase of 4% over last year. It is estimated that the cotton output in the new year can reach more than 860 thousand tons, an increase of 22% over last year. The linen percentage is 2% - 3% higher than that of last year, and the grade is obviously better than that of last year. It is 1 grade higher and the moisture regain is more than 15%. At present, the purchase price is 4.4 yuan / Jin - 4.5 yuan / Jin, and cotton enterprises are expected to start buying in large quantities in early October.

　　 Anhui: quality is better than previous years.

"There have been sporadic acquisitions in Anhui, Wuwei, Dongzhi, Wangjiang and so on. Buy The main body is small factories and cotton traders. The purchase price is 3.5 yuan to 3.7 yuan / jin (Unified flower, lint 36%, moisture 12). Cotton farmers have not picked up the quantity yet. It is expected that cotton will enter the picking period in the later part of this month, and some of the 400 type enterprises will enter the market for trial acquisition. Bai Wei, deputy general manager of Anhui cotton and hemp limited liability company, said: at present, Anhui cotton city is in a wait-and-see period. On the one hand, cotton prices are much lower than the previous year, and cotton farmers choose to sell them. On the other hand, cotton enterprises should have a knowledge of the guiding price, understand the process of acceptance, and adopt a cash stand attitude.

In 2011, cotton cultivation in Anhui changed slowly for several years. The planting area was about 5 million 400 thousand mu, an increase of 4.65% over last year. The output is estimated to be 380 thousand tons, an increase of 20.25% over last year. At present, the picking grade is mainly composed of 5 grades, with larger moisture. As of September 1st, cotton growth in the province is better than in previous years. Cotton yield per unit area is expected to exceed the average level in previous years, and the grade will be increased by 1 grades. {page_break}

The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region: output up to 3 million tons to pick up costs

"Picking up flower workers is seriously short, and the cost of picking up is 0.3 yuan to 0.5 yuan per kilogram last year, which will reach 2 yuan per Jin, and foreign capital will go into the Xinjiang to receive less cotton." Wang Yanping, director of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Cotton Association, introduced Xinjiang's pressure to spend money in 2011.

In 2011, the cotton planting area in Xinjiang was 23 million 840 thousand mu (16 million 210 thousand acres), an increase of 12.5% over the same period, and the output is expected to reach 3 million tons. Since the beginning of this year, the prices of most agricultural products have been stable, but the upward pressure on labor costs has been greater. According to the survey of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region development and Reform Commission, the total cost of cotton per mu in 2011 was 1579.65 yuan, an increase of 12.31% over the same period last year. Net profit per mu was 673.06 yuan, down 41.16% from last year.

In the northern Xinjiang in September 9th, the purchase price of grade 2 seed cotton was 4.35 yuan / kg (lint 40%), and the 3 grade seed cotton price was 4.1 yuan / Jin. Most enterprises thought that the guidance price was higher and the purchase was prudent according to the reserve price, and the cotton farmers thought that due to the rising cost and other factors this year, the expected price of new cotton was more than 4.5 yuan / Jin, the actual sales volume was not large, and the selling situation was heavy.

　 Hubei: cotton planting cost increased by 19.2% in Hubei Province

Tu Tongkun, executive vice president of Hubei Cotton Association, said: "cotton growers in Hubei province have a high enthusiasm for planting cotton this year. Planting cotton area has been planted and planted, increasing year by year. Cotton field management is active and in place, and cotton planting production has increased." If there is no abnormality in the late weather, the total output of cotton in Hubei province will exceed the level of last year. According to the cotton warning system in Hubei Province, the cotton planting area increased by about 12% over the same period. According to the statistical bulletin of Hubei Province, the cotton planting area was estimated to be 8 million 60 thousand mu last year, which is only less than that of 2008 since 2004. According to a typical survey of cotton warning system in Hubei Province, cotton planting cost (excluding self employment cost) is 430.9 yuan / mu this year, an increase of 69.4 yuan / mu, an increase of 19.2%.

At present, the acquisition of new cotton in Hubei is starting, with cotton traders and small factories buying mostly. A small number of 400 type manufacturers have begun to enter the market, but there is not much turnover. At present, the market main body seed cotton purchase price is about 4 yuan / Jin, quality grade and moisture control are better than the same period last year. Because the quality of early flowering is better, farmers in the later stage expect the purchase price to rise.

　　 Jiangsu Sheyang: cotton production costs rise, cotton farmers will gain or fall

Jiangsu Sheyang county is the main cotton production county in Jiangsu province. Chen Zhanlong, Secretary General of the cotton association of Sheyang County, concluded that the cotton area of Sheyang county has resumed growth this year, the yield per unit area has decreased slightly, the total output has increased slightly, the cost of cotton planting has increased, and the cotton farmers' income will decrease or decrease.

Sheyang County Cotton Association statistics, in 2011, Sheyang cotton cultivation has resumed growth, reaching 525 thousand mu, an increase of 80 thousand mu over the previous year, the total output will reach 38 thousand tons, an increase of 3 thousand tons over last year, and the average yield of lint cotton is estimated at 72.6 kilograms.

Under the influence of fixed costs, materialized inputs and labor and labor prices, the cost of cotton planting in Sheyang county will exceed 1400 yuan per mu, reaching 1413.2 yuan.

If the average purchase price of seed cotton can reach 4.5 yuan / Jin, the income of cotton planting Mu is about 1850 yuan, which is about 470 yuan less than that of last year. Excluding the total cost, the net income, including the national subsidy for fine varieties, is only 437 yuan, accounting for only 39.3% of last year's total. Even with self employed workers, the income is only 1288 yuan, and 570 yuan less than last year. This income situation is obviously lower than that of grain. The grain and cotton intercropping income is initially estimated at about 2700 yuan this year, while wheat and rice continuous cropping revenue will exceed 2900 yuan, which will have a negative impact on cotton planting next year.

Most cotton growers expect to concentrate on the market. The seed cotton purchase price is stable between 4.5 yuan and 5 yuan / Jin, and the ideal price of Mu cotton planting income is 2000 yuan.