Futures: Macro And Fundamentals Plus Negative Margins
Main points:
1, upstream raw material price and PTA production profit: WTI crude oil spot price is 92.86 barrels, CFR Japan naphtha price is 867 USD / ton, FOB South Korea MX price is 1215 yuan / ton.
FOB Korea PX price is 1425 tons.
2, PTA spot price:
PTA
The average spot price is 8450 yuan / ton, and the spot price is 1097 USD / ton.
3, MEG price: domestic MEG 8570 yuan / ton, import MEG 1115 US dollars / ton.
4, the price of downstream polyester products: large bright polyester cut 11850/ tons, half light polyester chip 11100 yuan, 1.4D direct spinning polyester 12080 yuan / ton, polyester DTY 150D is 14850 yuan / ton.
Polyester fiber
POY 150D is 12700 yuan / ton, polyester FDY 150D is 13100 yuan / ton.
5, downstream production and marketing: polyester and silk production and marketing in mainstream factories in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces are weak, most of them are 5-7, a few are 8-9, and some are 4.
6, device dynamics: Shanghai Jinshan 400 thousand ton plant restart plan postponed to early November; pont Petrochemical 900 thousand tons PTA plant plan 11-12 months scheduled for three weeks or so maintenance; Jiangyin Helen another set of 600 thousand tons of PTA device before October 15th.
Summary:
PTA's recent systemic impact on macroeconomic news is more obvious, and its fundamentals itself.
supply and demand
The situation is weak.
On the macro side, the European debt crisis and domestic macro-control policies have changed, but there is no fundamental change.
The Greek Prime Minister announced a referendum on the latest EU aid plan to let the market worry about the smooth implementation of the rescue plan, which was affected by the sell-off of the euro, and the US dollar rose sharply and brought pressure on the commodity market.
The two superposition of macro and fundamentals led to a sharp fall in PTA's main contract yesterday.
Operation should continue to remain empty.
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