Three Conjectures And Strategies Of Post Holiday Stock Market

The general trend is conjectures: will the festival be a good start?

Implementation probability: 80%

Concrete reasons: in September, the market remained stable, and the stock index hit 2365.49 points again.

At the close, the Shanghai stock index reported 2363.87 points, or 0.26%, the Shenzhen composite index reported 8080.35 points, or 0.03%, and the 1540.87 quarter of the gem newspaper rose 0.96%.

The two cities have 34 stock exchanges and 2 limit ups.

Entering the October, the Fourth Plenary Session of the fourth plenary session and the Shanghai and Hong Kong links have become the focus of the market. In the continuous fermentation of the two great benefits of reform dividends and trillions of incremental funds, the opening of the festival is a great probability.

On the technical side, the Shanghai Stock Index stands at 2350 points, the daily technical indicators are in the bull market, the 5 day line and the 10 day line go up again, pointing to 2400-2440 points.

Coping strategy: the 2440 point (overlapping with the 60 month line) is another important pressure. Prudent investors should receive red packets at high prices.

Main idea: profit off?

Implementation probability: 80%

Concrete reasons: this week is the last 2 trading days before the festival, and the market reappears.

Shares, especially today's land pfer concept, "see light dead", Huilong shares limit, Asia Group,

Nearly 9%, capital fled.

At the close, the Shanghai stock market had a net outflow of 6 billion 340 million and a net outflow of 6 billion 210 million in Shenzhen stock market.

Data show that when the Shanghai and Hong Kong pass is about to take place, the venture capital that has been actively entering the market in July and August has begun to retreat, and the annuity product that seeks absolute return is to withdraw in order to lock in the proceeds.

Coping strategies: investors can cash in the early growth of large varieties, to the fourth plenary session and low-cost blue chips.

Implementation probability: 75%

Specific reasons: at the end of July this year, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee decided to convene the Fourth Plenary Session of the eighteenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in Beijing in October this year. The main agenda is that the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee will report to the Central Committee and study the major issues of comprehensively promoting the rule of law.

It is reported that the Political Bureau meeting at the end of this month will decide the specific holding time of the fourth plenary session.