Stock Index Shrinking Five, Five Factors To Help The Market Overshoot Rebound

Although the fundamentals of the economy are less than expected, it has prompted the short strength to take a comeback and take the lead in the market. However, from the policy, the market itself and the positive factors implied in the three quarterly report, the stock index will probably stabilize or stabilize in the near future, and may rebound.

From a technical point of view, it also shows some signs of overfall, for example, the short-term RSI index has dropped from 52.14% last Tuesday to 20%, and the short-term overfall is obvious.

First of all, at the time point, three quarterly announces will be closed soon, and more than 1600 enterprises will announce the three quarter performance report this week.

From the level of corporate earnings that has been released, more than 60% of the listed companies' net profit has increased. If there is no accident, the improvement of the fundamentals of the enterprise will be converted to a higher valuation premium, thereby inhibiting the stock price going down sharply. At the same time, the thickening of corporate profits can also boost investment sentiment, market structural market or restart.

Secondly,

The fall is certainly a reflection of pessimism in the market sentiment, but at the same time, we should also see that the recent decline in turnover is accompanied by the weakening of turnover.

From October 16th to now, the single day turnover in Shanghai has dropped from less than 200 billion yuan to less than 120 billion yuan. In the same period, the turnover of Shenzhen stock market also dropped from close to 210 billion yuan to about 120000000000 Yuan.

The significant divergence of volume and price also shows that the current multi party strength is not weak, and many investors still have considerable expectations for the reform dividend.

And from the index point of view, although the Shanghai Composite Index has been more or less cloudy recently, compared with the first half of last week, the decline showed a more obvious narrowing phenomenon. Combined with the amount of energy change, the probability of reaching the bottom of the stock index stage is larger, and the market will rebound.

Again, the small cap stocks in recent two days are intriguing.

With the weakness of blue chips and the hard market situation, yesterday's funds were strongly interested in small and medium cap stocks, while the gem composite index rose 29 billion 400 million while the index rose 1.24%, while the SME board also gained 0.56% single day gains.

As the early and falling sectors, the "abnormal" growth of small and medium sized boards and gem has hinted that the main funds will end dormant and try to launch a new round of sniping by growth stocks.

Fourth, the policy of spring breeze has also been intensified, so as to continuously deliver "red envelopes" to the market.

On the news side, in order to cooperate with the implementation of the new environmental protection law in January 1st next year, the Ministry of environmental protection has recently designated 4 supporting documents, such as the Interim Measures for the successive punishment of environmental protection, and publicly solicited opinions, overlaying seasonal haze and other factors. It is expected to become a hot topic in the short term. Besides, the second phase of the customs regional customs clearance reform in the Yangtze River Economic Zone will start in December 1st, and 12 customs reform measures will bring opportunities for port, pportation and other varieties.

Such as Shanghai and Hong Kong Tong, financial support for the characteristics of cultural industries.

In addition, the arrival of the end of the year "

"Expect to heat up. In view of the good performance of the three quarterly report, the early allocation of those dividends to the strong and high dividend share is undoubtedly a rare investment opportunity in the short term.

And that is coming soon.

These expectations are further strengthened.

On the one hand, the IPO needs to cross the threshold of performance appraisal, and the qualification of enterprises is often more secure and more favorable to dividends. On the other hand, the "new speculation" at the beginning of IPO can also bring rich risk free returns, and in the past several rounds of IPO, although the effect of capital diversion often leads to index fluctuations, the market has gone out of the market without exception.