The Ministry Of Commerce Said That Foreign Trade Will Grow Moderately Moderately This Year.

Yesterday, Shen Danyang, spokesman of the Ministry of Commerce, described this year's "severe complexity" in our regular press conference.

Faced with the situation.

He believes that this year's foreign trade will remain moderately stable growth.

Foreign trade situation this year

Still grim and complicated

Customs data show that in 2014, China's import and export value increased by 2.3% over the same period, of which exports increased by 4.9% and imports decreased by 0.6%.

There is a big gap between the target of foreign trade and about 7.5% last year.

"We have judged that the domestic and international situation facing foreign trade development this year is still grim and complicated, and foreign trade enterprises are facing more difficulties."

Shen Danyang said, from

The world economy is still in the period of adjustment after the international financial crisis. The overall recovery has not changed significantly. The growth of external demand is still facing many uncertain factors.

"The International Monetary Fund forecasts that the global economic growth in 2015 will be 3.8%.

But IMF has always been optimistic, forecasting growth rate is often higher than the actual growth rate.

We think the whole world economic growth in 2015 may not be so optimistic. "

Shen Danyang said.

Shen Danyang pointed out that, from the domestic point of view, China's domestic economy is entering the "new normal". Downward pressure still exists. If domestic investment and economic growth slow down, the increment of imports will be suppressed.

From the perspective of enterprise competitiveness, low cost advantage is weakening, factor prices continue to rise, the traditional comparative advantage is weakening, and the pressure of foreign trade enterprises is increasing.

Shen Danyang also pointed out that from the perspective of trade environment, China has been the most frequently encountered trade frictions for 19 years in a row.

Data show that in 2014 1~9, the number and amount of trade remedy investigations initiated in China increased by 17% and 159% respectively over the same period last year.

From the perspective of geopolitics, the turbulence in some areas has intensified, which has further increased the risks and uncertainties of international trade.

However, considering that the policy of expanding exports and increasing imports is now more perfect, the strategic concept of "one belt and one road" is accelerating and high level.

The network is being constructed, and the emerging trade modes such as cross-border e-commerce and market purchasing are developing vigorously, and foreign trade is generally showing a trend of stabilizing and becoming good. These are favorable factors.

Shen Danyang pointed out that the implementation of the policy should be carried out well, believing that foreign trade in 2015 will remain moderately stable.

Two way investment is close to balance.

Data show that in 2014, China achieved total foreign investment of 116 billion US dollars.

If we add third yuan to finance and reinvest, the scale of China's foreign investment in 2014 should be around us $140 billion.

In terms of foreign capital utilization, China's actual use of foreign capital in 2014 amounted to US $119 billion 560 million, an increase of 1.7% over the same period last year, higher than that of the major economies of the United States, the European Union, Russia and Brazil, ranking the first in developing countries for 23 years.

"The scale of China's foreign direct investment is only 3 billion 560 million US dollars in the same period of China's attracting foreign investment, and the two-way investment is close to the balance for the first time. At the same time, enterprises have made breakthroughs in overseas mergers and acquisitions."

Shen Danyang said that the next step is to deepen the reform of the management system of foreign investment cooperation, strengthen pre planning guidance and public services, strengthen supervision and risk response afterwards, continue to improve the level of facilitation, and create a more relaxed external environment for enterprises.

At the same time, it will further promote the establishment of the main position of enterprises' foreign investment and more release the vitality of enterprises' overseas investment.

At present, the overseas investment of Chinese enterprises is welcomed by countries all over the world. The developed economies like the United States, the European Union and Japan, such as emerging economies such as Russia, Brazil and South Africa, and some underdeveloped economies, welcome Chinese enterprises to invest in them.

At the same time, Chinese enterprises also have the initiative to invest abroad, or there is market power, and the Chinese government actively encourages the enterprises to support the policy of "going abroad" for foreign investment. Therefore, the fundamentals of China's outward investment growth are good, and the rapid growth is also expected.

"Compared with attracting foreign investment, we estimate that the growth rate of foreign investment may be faster in the next few years."

Shen Danyang said, "of course, we should also see that China's outward foreign direct investment starts relatively late, and it is still at its infancy in general. The total scale of investment or the stock of investment is smaller than that of developed countries such as the United States, the European Union and Japan.

This shows that there is still much work to be done to guide and promote Chinese enterprises to better develop their foreign investment cooperation. "