Trump'S "Divulge Storm" Swept The Global Capital Market.

A hurricane coming from the United States sweeps the global capital market. Some people compare Trump's "leak door" with Nixon's Watergate incident.

The situation is indeed very serious. Trump, the veteran of the shopping arcade and the political rookie, are caught too many plaits. The most serious situation does not rule out the possibility of ending political life.

Trump was closely related to Russia before the election and was criticized for more than a day.

Quoted by several senior US officials, Trump reported that when he met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian ambassador to the United States Sergei Kislyak, he mentioned the latest intelligence information of the US side, indicating that the Islamic state attempted to blow up the plane with a laptop computer and gave details to Russia.

When Trump's staff was really tired, when Secretary of state Tillerson and President Mike, President of national security affairs, came to clarify, even when the Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson came forward to say that the report was fabricated, Trump still continued his "pushing the rule of the country", and pushed Terry to claim that he had the right to share information with Russian officials on combating terrorism.

Trump's wasp nests more than this.

In May 9th, he abruptly removed the position of former FBI Director, James Comi, when Kimi went on a business trip in Losangeles, and was informed of his dismissal through television news.

The dismissal is not simple. KIMI is still in charge of the investigation by the FBI about Trump's campaign.

Trump's shot was questioned by many media, which interfered with the fairness of the investigation.

Although the bullet shot to Kimi, in fact, in turn, "recoil" also hurt Trump himself.

After Trump burst out to the Russian Foreign Minister "leaked the core anti-terrorism secrets", followed by a conversation record revealed that in February 14th, Trump directly asked Kimi to stop the investigation of the relationship between former national security adviser Flynn and Russia.

Although the White House can refute, the political process has started.

On the morning of May 18th, Beijing Bloomberg announced that according to the statement issued by the Senate Judiciary Committee, Feinstein, chairman of the Committee and G Leslie, senior member of the Democratic Party, had written to McCabe, the acting director of the Bureau of the FBI, to request all the memorandum from the former director of the Council, "the interaction between the government of Trump and the government of Obama".

It is hard to avoid the investigation of "leak door" and "Tong Russia gate". If Congress judges that the leak is really there, it is hard to predict how Trump's political life will be.

If so, the whole world

A hurricane is coming.

According to statistics, after the publication of the report on Trump's disclosure of secrets, Trump's chances of impeachment were doubled this year, reaching 29%.

In May 17th, the S & P 500 index and the Dow Jones industrial average index recorded the largest single day decline since September last year.

The standard & Poor's 500 index fell 1.82% to 2357.03 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.78% to 20606.93 points, and the NASDAQ index fell 2.57% to 6011.24.

The VIX index, known as the panic index, rose 36% to 14.5, the biggest gain since last September.

But the storm that Trump encountered is just a good hedge currency and gold.

But when the market began to blow, everyone held on to the gold and the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc for the winter.

On the day of May 17th, the US dollar index fell to around 97.50.

"(the rally since the general election has pushed the US dollar to its highest level since 2002) was almost eliminated. The US dollar fell to nearly 2% against the yen, to its lowest level in 4 months, reaching a 6 month low for the Swiss franc.

On the other hand, the gold price of the NYSE rose all the way from its recent low to low in May 9th and rose more than 20 US dollars in May 17th, setting the biggest single day gain since last June's referendum in Britain.

On the same day, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike was suddenly cooled.

According to the overnight index swap and the current actual federal funds interest rate, the Federal Reserve's probability of raising interest rates next month is still about 64%, compared with 80% a week ago.

At the same time, the rate of interest rate hike in September also fell synchronously.

Trump has been regarded as the biggest uncertainty factor in the capital market. Even if he stays on the stage, the risk will not be very small.

But if he is impeached, the market shock will suddenly intensify in the short run.

In this case, the importance of market allocation will be revealed.

It will start to play the role.

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