Price And Profit Of Polyester Yarn

By observing the trend of recent ten years, the trend of polyester yarn series is relatively consistent. In the 11-16 years, under the influence of low oil price and financial crisis, polyester yarn prices have been going low. The price of pure polyester yarn was over 21000 in 11 years, and the lowest price was in 15 years, and the price was at 9900. In other words, more than 2 tons of pure polyester yarn can be bought in 15 years at the price of 11 years. The same is true of polyester cotton yarn. (unit: yuan / ton)

After 16 years, polyester yarn series gradually hit the bottom and rebounded, but the growth momentum is not sustainable. After 18 years, the yarn has fallen sharply again. During the year, the epidemic situation superimposed on the trade war, which could be described as desolate and desolate for the yarn market. It's impossible for the market to turn over. No matter pure polyester yarn, polyester cotton yarn and polyester viscose yarn, the market price has broken the low point since 10 years. However, after refreshing the new low, the market price has gradually embarked on the road of recovering its own price. After the National Day rally, we all have personal feelings.

From the perspective of micro yarn, polyester yarn rose in May and October. It can be seen that this wave was realized during the Qingming Festival, the Dragon Boat Festival and the golden age. Considering the epidemic situation and trade war, the market demand is not ideal. During most festivals, it has become a good opportunity for yarn enterprises to avoid risks, reduce the range and reduce production. In particular, after the concession shipment, the low inventory combined with the staged rigid demand and the good cooperation of the raw material side, the market price rebounded slightly. It can be said that since August, the market has gradually turned around. After the national day, the yarn market has changed its usual fuss. The soaring cotton price and the polyester staple fiber coming into the futures market form resonance with the market. The yarn enterprises have been pulling up the quotation in the environment of low warehouse and tight list. At present, t32s rose to 11000, 1600 higher than before the festival; TC 32s15200 also rose at 1600, and tr 32S rose to 1400. Of course, there are still low prices in the market, and there is a large price difference between the north and the south. However, according to market observation, there have been sporadic transactions with high prices in the market, and the raw material end continues to rise, which makes the yarn enterprises' sentiment of selling expectations continue to increase, and the transaction of small samples also contributes to the market price. (unit: yuan / ton)

Textile industry is a labor-intensive industry, so the profit level is more embarrassing. Low cash flow of yarn is normal, and loss and low profit are common. However, the profit margin of textile industry is difficult to exceed 5%. Of course, the inferior performance of demand environment and raw material environment is the main reason for the profit of extruded yarn. One of the most important is that polyester is not like cotton, as early as April on the road to restore its own valuation.

According to the monitoring, from 11 years to now, the processing cost of t32s disk has remained above 4000. However, the processing costs of enterprises in different regions are not consistent, and the differences between enterprises in Hebei and Fujian are even greater. If break even processing fee is calculated by 4500 line, most of the time, pure spinning enterprise spinning Market loss. So far this year, the average processing cost of pure spinning is about 4200. Except for February April, the processing fee in October can reach more than 4500, and the processing cost level in other time is still low, and the loss can be seen. The profit level of polyester cotton yarn is relatively rational and can keep a small profit according to the breakeven processing cost of 5200-5500. However, the enterprises in different places have different points of stock preparation, and the cost of breakeven processing is also different. You can observe the 4500-5500 line appropriately. (unit: yuan / ton)

This paper compares the disc processing cost of polyester yarn with that of non polyester yarn. In these years, TC processing cost is the highest, followed by C32, followed by T32. R30, that is, the processing cost of viscose yarn is the lowest among them.

However, according to the cost of breakeven processing, in the middle of this year, the loss of blended yarn is most of the time, the loss of pure cotton 32S ton yarn is more than 1000 yuan, and the loss of high count yarn is even two to three thousand yuan. You can observe, 4500 ~ 5500 in this range, in addition to cotton varieties, polyester and sticky Shaxian pan processing costs are low. It can be seen that polyester yarn series is not better than other series of yarn.

And you can imagine that after this year's national day, the prices of the three major cotton spinning raw materials have risen in unison. Naturally, the price of yarn also moves up synchronously. Therefore, the disc processing cost of yarn has improved, but it does not mean that if the price increases, everyone will have profits. One is that the increase of yarn does not beat that of raw materials, of course, cotton; the other is that the price of raw materials of enterprises that buy on demand is higher than that of enterprises that prepare goods in the early stage. Therefore, in a comprehensive way, enterprises with inventory reserves of raw materials can turn losses into profits in the channel of this round of price rise. But the raw materials are in short supply and the enterprises with low cost inventory still go to change the loss situation.

Looking around the textile industry, the national day before the national day presents the characteristics of 5 low and 1 high, and the period is closely linked, which is both a cause and a result. Low price, low profit, low start-up, low output, low inventory of raw materials and high inventory of finished products are common diseases in the current industry. However, after the national day, there was a big reversal in the industry, such as the increase of starting work, the increase of raw material inventory, the rise of price, and the increase of stock, showing a thriving performance. However, there are more and bigger surprises on the way.