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Emerging Markets Fade Away Aura, China's Manufacturing Is "Counterattack"

2013/10/28 21:39:00 11

Emerging MarketsBright Prices DownFuture Employment

< p > > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > < /a > strong > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > emerging market < /a > high growth no longer < /strong > < > >
< p > as of October 23rd, the number of purchasers arrived at 122710, lower than the number of purchasers in the same period of spring fair 147446. The number of buyers in the first phase ended in October 19th, a slight decrease of 1.5% compared with last year's autumn rendezvous, which was 10.8% lower than that of this spring rendezvous. < /p >
< p > statistics of China Chamber of Commerce for import and export of mechanical and electrical products show that the turnover of the first phase of Canton Fair has increased slightly over the same period last year, with a turnover of 12 billion 500 million US dollars, an increase of only 0.5%. According to customs statistics of Qingdao, Shandong Province, a major tire exporting province, has exported 140 million tyres this year, an increase of 12.9% over the same period last year, but the average price of tire exports dropped by 8.7% over the same period last year. < /p >
Less than P, the weakness of emerging markets exceeded the expectations of many exhibitors. According to the official statistics of Canton Fair, during the first phase of the exhibition, the number of merchants from India and Africa fell by 31% and 30.9% respectively. < /p >
< p > "we have predicted that the emerging market will be relatively poor, but we did not expect it to be so bad." Liu Yi, the head of a car exterior decoration manufacturer in Shenzhen, has the same feeling. < /p >
After P, 2008, his company focused on emerging markets. "We are the earliest enterprises in the industry." He said that before and after 2010, the company has made rapid progress in the business of emerging markets, with an annual growth rate of up to 30%. < /p >
At the beginning of this year, they also had high hopes for emerging markets. However, the market did not expect the market to go down very quickly. Orders not only did not grow, but declined instead of P. Before joining the Canton Fair, Liu Yi contacted all the new and old customers in the emerging markets through e-mail, telephone and so on, and designed a series of innovative products according to the characteristics of the emerging markets. < /p >
< p > "I didn't expect the result to be satisfactory." He said. Some customers simply did not come to Guangzhou, and some buyers were very sensitive to the price. "Almost all the exhibitors have seen the old and new customers." Liu Yi also said that some old customers sent him the lowest price directly, indicating that they must negotiate on the basis of this price. "According to their requirements, the price of the same product is almost 5% to 10% lower than that of the same period last year." Liu Yi said the same. < /p >
< p > his feelings are only a miniature of the "a href=" //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp "> volume and price < /a > at the Canton Fair. In the past, most of the newly purchased purchasers of the "generously bought" wallet were mostly caused by their economic turmoil, especially the devaluation of currencies in many countries. < /p >
After the release of quantitative easing signals by the Federal Reserve in June this year, the outflow of funds in emerging countries that had absorbed more than 3 trillion and 900 billion dollars began to flow out. Under this influence, the devaluation rate of India and Brazil was over 20%, and the currencies of Thailand and Indonesia also had 10% left and right declines. Correspondingly, in the first ten months of this year, the yuan has appreciated by 2.4% against the US dollar, much higher than the 1% increase last year. Buyers in emerging markets have to sharply lower prices when they rise or fall. < /p >
< p > National Bureau of statistics data show that China's overall exports to BRICs fell from 6.6% in August to -4.1%, and the total exports to ASEAN dropped from 30.79% in August to 9.78%. < /p >
< p > < strong > China was attacked by "counterattack" < /strong > /p >
< p > during the Canton Fair, the reporter met a buyer from Brazil, Oscardan, who has participated in the four Canton Fair continuously, aiming at various lighting products. But even if he was a Chinese friend in his mouth, he would have to press over 5% of his old friends. < /p >
< p > "otherwise these Chinese products will not be competitive in Brazil." Oscardan said that China's lighting products have always been famous for its high quality and low price, but a series of local products have appeared in Brazil, and the lighting manufacturers in Southeast Asia and other places have also entered the Brazil market. < /p >
< p > "so far, the price performance of Chinese products is still the highest." Oscardan said, "but there must be a certain price discount." < /p >
< p > if there are still some technical advantages in the first phase of the Canton Fair, such as electromechanical and auto parts, the two phase of household and ceramic products will be mainly labor-intensive. In these areas, the ceramic bathroom industry in India, Thailand and Vietnam has developed rapidly in recent years, and has become a direct competitor of "made in China". < /p >
< p > "made in China has lost many of its original advantages." Huo Jinxiang, general manager of new Zhongyuan International Business Department, told reporters that some glazed tiles of India were seen in the Middle East. The glaze was thicker than the domestic products, although the brick was slightly worse, but the price was much lower than that in the domestic market. < /p >
< p > it seems to some professions that although there are many market gaps in emerging markets, China's enterprises have left room for rapid expansion in the short term, but in general, the market space of emerging markets is limited. Especially in some labor-intensive industries such as home furnishing, pottery and so on, with the emergence of these countries' own manufacturers, it is very difficult for Chinese enterprises to make an essay on "cheap" two words. < /p >
< p > according to the news of Asia a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" target= "_blank" > textile < /a > alliance, India textile Ministry will launch the first national special textile fund with India SME development bank to provide financing channels for emerging enterprises and provide financial support for small enterprises with extended production. At present, the textile industry contributes 14% to India's industrial production, accounting for 4% of the total national economy, accounting for 17% of the total exports, and is also the only labour intensive industry in the country after agriculture. If the project is progressing smoothly, the mode will be applied to < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" target= "_blank" > leather < /a > and toy production industry. < /p >
< p > "Chinese enterprises need to rapidly transform their product structure and develop high-end market by developing new markets." The industry insiders said. < /p >
< p > Liu Yi believes that such a goal can not be achieved only by the Canton Fair. "We have also developed a series of new products this year, but the final result is not ideal." Liu Yi also said that the Canton Fair could catch up with the emerging markets quickly, but if we want to identify the market pulse and predict the market demand ahead of time, we must have more in-depth cooperation with dealers. < /p >
< p > "we began to consider joint with distributors and set up joint ventures abroad to jointly develop the market." He said. < /p >
< p > < strong > the recovery in Europe and the United States starts from < /strong > /p >
Unlike the emerging markets, the P has seen signs of recovery in the US and Europe. According to statistics from the general assembly, the number of European businessmen in the first phase of the Canton Fair is increasing. Among them, the number of exhibitors in Italy has increased by 50.2% compared with the spring fair. Although American merchants were flat compared with the same period last year. < /p >
Most of the manufacturers surveyed by random reporters P said that the volume of purchases by American customers increased compared with last year, while the figures of the Chinese mechanical and electrical chamber of commerce also showed that the turnover in the US market is growing rapidly. < /p >
< p > "I have a British customer who has not placed an order for more than two years and gave me a list." Li Yanjie, sales manager of Dongguan Jinsui Electronics Co., Ltd., said he was somewhat overjoyed. To let Li Yanjie have surprises, not just this familiar customer, he was responsible for the European business before and after the Canton Fair. He told reporters, "20% orders over the same period last year". < /p >
< p > "we hope that the European and American orders for this Canton Fair will increase by 15%." Liu Changyi, chairman of the Shantou Qiangxin toys and Gifts Co., Ltd., which is exhibiting in the two phase of the Canton Fair, said that, according to past practice, the traditional Christmas gifts should be signed at the spring fair, and then the order was made in July and August. "But this year obviously postponed, the company orders were very weak during the spring fair, but in the first day of the autumn trade fair, two American orders were obtained in less than two hours." Liu Changyi said. < /p >
< p > Britain's economic growth in the second half of 2013 is at a level of 0.7% or higher, which is better than that in the August inflation report period. In October 23rd, the Bank of England raised the prediction of the economic growth in the second half of 2013 to a strong recovery. On the same day, the big business association issued a report that the employment trend index of the United States rose again in September. < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_f.asp" > future employment < /a > will achieve growth. < /p >
< p > the improvement of the external economic situation shows that the traditional European and American markets are showing signs of recovery. But whether this trend can continue depends on the development of various economies in the second half of the year. < /p >
< p > this uncertainty is also reflected in this trade fair. Liu Changyi said that most of the orders signed in September and October were short bills, all of which needed to be delivered before December. "No orders for next year." He was slightly worried. In the first phase of the Canton Fair, some media found that most of the orders were short and small, and very few received orders from early next year. < /p >
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